Wednesday, April 24, 2024

How Much of Climate Change Is Natural? How Much Is Man-Made?

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By Mark New

As someone who has been working on climate change detection and its causes for over 20 years, I was both surprised and not surprised that I was asked to write on this topic by The Conversation. For nearly all climate scientists, the case is proof that humans are the overwhelming cause of the long-term changes in the climate that we are observing. And that this case should be closed.

Despite this, climate denialists continue to receive prominence in some media which can lead people into thinking that man-made climate change is still in question. So it’s worth going back over the science to remind ourselves just how much has already been established.

Successive reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change – mandated by the United Nations to assess scientific evidence on climate change – have evaluated the causes of climate change. The most recent special report on global warming of 1.5 degrees confirms that the observed changes in global and regional climate over the last 50 or so years are almost entirely due to human influence on the climate system and not due to natural causes.

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